Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 109.948300 124.894030 141.340926 160.818072 183.299826 208.488470 238.922516
2026-02-08 87.009425 106.195892 129.041704 158.384971 195.266768 240.338861 299.975514
2026-02-15 74.856327 96.151417 122.980750 159.532653 208.446359 272.222253 362.617870
2026-02-22 66.664990 89.229309 118.988128 161.535541 221.501443 304.037947 428.040814
2026-03-01 58.491314 81.000339 111.835272 157.739618 225.332338 322.760492 476.667381
2026-03-08 52.188480 74.466078 106.023093 154.719710 229.288951 341.341023 526.620094
2026-03-15 47.467152 69.593000 101.905427 153.436237 235.250881 363.039745 583.582689
2026-03-22 45.216266 68.067502 102.447655 159.078097 252.262030 403.524327 676.043069
2026-03-29 42.982008 66.296193 102.349998 163.547685 267.667284 442.915738 771.779858
2026-04-05 39.907249 62.889301 99.304905 162.791951 274.086216 467.625192 844.497444
2026-04-12 37.596979 60.483755 97.608811 164.031042 283.911569 499.151780 933.851746
2026-04-19 35.277937 57.848112 95.265548 163.848543 291.055735 526.437581 1018.564404
2026-04-26 33.164869 55.588847 93.706863 165.553722 303.111894 566.772021 1140.958897
2026-05-03 30.530801 52.222308 89.961844 162.972679 306.980302 592.324081 1238.275548
2026-05-10 28.750006 50.183110 88.351174 164.153492 318.237745 634.050018 1377.956401
2026-05-17 27.272959 48.544839 87.288261 166.220350 331.457662 681.576926 1539.397737
2026-05-24 25.172888 45.565348 83.433753 162.302892 331.683695 701.158144 1638.291099
2026-05-31 23.381752 43.013126 80.156496 159.186520 333.190376 723.690237 1748.510091
2026-06-07 21.966181 41.061148 77.866390 157.862111 338.434019 755.422438 1888.191942
2026-06-14 21.439409 40.797269 78.890159 163.684186 360.531568 830.053299 2156.727934
2026-06-21 20.814432 40.280457 79.344768 168.297025 380.406542 902.307386 2434.237325
2026-06-28 19.717533 38.713710 77.484316 167.517040 387.257828 942.808265 2629.015365
2026-07-05 18.891841 37.640769 76.569136 168.795898 399.322479 998.650863 2881.918133